Iowa State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
19  Crystal Nelson SO 19:27
56  Bethanie Brown FR 19:48
108  Perez Rotich FR 20:05
110  Katy Moen 20:05
200  Samantha Bluske SR 20:23
313  Ejiro Okoro 20:38
357  Ejiroghene Okoro SR 20:43
385  Andrea Toppin SO 20:46
489  Colleen Riley SO 20:55
520  Bethany Olson SR 20:59
565  Maggie Gannon JR 21:03
592  Anna Buenneke SR 21:05
1,070  Sydney Lesko FR 21:37
1,072  Taylor McDowell FR 21:37
National Rank #12 of 340
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 1.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 16.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 46.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 95.3%


Regional Champion 69.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Crystal Nelson Bethanie Brown Perez Rotich Katy Moen Samantha Bluske Ejiro Okoro Ejiroghene Okoro Andrea Toppin Colleen Riley Bethany Olson Maggie Gannon
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 468 19:29 20:02 19:58 20:18 20:39 20:55 20:59 20:47
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 374 19:27 19:50 19:47 20:05 20:34 20:43 20:41
Big 12 Championships 11/02 417 19:14 19:59 20:15 19:56 20:33 20:30 20:36 20:56 21:45
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 400 19:39 19:50 20:06 20:12 20:14 21:07 21:16
NCAA Championship 11/23 425 19:34 19:36 20:30 19:59 20:24 20:51 20:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 11.3 333 1.0 2.2 3.7 4.3 5.2 5.1 6.0 5.8 6.1 6.6 6.9 7.1 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.2 3.9 3.8 2.7 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.3 49 69.5 30.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Crystal Nelson 100% 22.9 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.0 2.4 2.3 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.0 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.0 2.0
Bethanie Brown 100% 58.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9
Perez Rotich 100% 99.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Katy Moen 100% 100.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Samantha Bluske 100% 150.4
Ejiro Okoro 100% 191.0
Ejiroghene Okoro 100% 201.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Crystal Nelson 1.0 63.3 22.2 8.0 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bethanie Brown 3.6 2.6 16.2 21.0 16.4 11.9 8.2 6.1 4.4 4.0 2.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Perez Rotich 9.5 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.4 7.3 6.6 7.3 8.2 7.4 7.3 7.0 6.2 4.9 4.9 4.1 3.3 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7
Katy Moen 9.7 0.0 1.1 2.4 4.7 6.3 7.3 7.8 7.8 7.6 7.3 6.4 6.3 5.1 4.7 4.9 3.9 3.1 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.5
Samantha Bluske 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.4 2.3 2.2 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.1 4.9 3.9 3.6
Ejiro Okoro 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.5
Ejiroghene Okoro 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 69.5% 100.0% 69.5 69.5 1
2 30.4% 100.0% 30.4 30.4 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 100.0% 69.5 30.4 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
New Mexico 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Dartmouth 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Washington 94.2% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 91.9% 1.0 0.9
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 75.6% 2.0 1.5
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Vanderbilt 73.9% 2.0 1.5
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 33.7% 2.0 0.7
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
West Virginia 10.9% 1.0 0.1
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 2.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 13.4
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 22.0